Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 12 km from here.
This alert expired on 29 September 2026 at 22:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 20 July 2026. The last comparable one was on 8 August 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 1:47PM MDT until September 29 at 4:45PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 32.9697, -106.9558 |
| Nearest City | Las Cruces (75 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-29T19:47:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.20b0ba9d9ed47577b5f984f4fb494fa69efeb48b.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-29T19:47:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-29T19:57:51.505Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20b0ba9d9ed47577b5f984f4fb494fa69efeb48b.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Dona Ana, NM; Dona Ana, NM; Sierra, NM; Lincoln, NM; Socorro, NM and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 1:47PM MDT until September 29 at 4:45PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| Expires | 2026-09-29T16:45:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 9 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20b0ba9d9ed47577b5f984f4fb494fa69efeb48b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.69aa8df525f02c826fd686be2fbd452248987c0e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0dd46acd1533cd184b9bd212826ee0207151daf0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9cc5e3b3eda9220cf26a21e926ee5d7a1d356009.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.310cbf03ed262e7f9b593d06dfe0824f241d6251.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c5f71eeb99444914feeaa94b967e8eb0131d5734.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1d19fa81a2183635699675ff5ac8d057b69fdf1f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c6a08c658b0230a9de162b3da5b2b8278e07d590.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.817f5e9b593a0c0cc8c00d6ecfe239a8c4cbcbfe.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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